Tuesday, January 03, 2006

If not 2006, then when?

This is a longish article on the likelihood that we have just hit peak oil production and then works out the ramifications in USA and global terms. The thing is that the consequences are likely and logical. For example:
As America roils in economic pain, factory workers in China will be thrown out of work. They will be extremely pissed off, and as their appeals go unappeased, they might start making political trouble in their country. That could easily stimulate Chinese leaders to divert their nation's attention with a compelling military project -- say some moves into the oil-rich former Soviet lands to China's west. Sooner or later, China eventually will go cuckoo from a shortage of fossil fuels. It only remains to be seen how this will express itself.

The only real mitigations might be the possibility that we haven't quite hit the peak of oil production, or renewables really start to make a dent [not likely in one year but in the longer term... maybe], or the immediate effects are not quite as severe or quickly-enacted as envisaged here.
Clusterfuck Nation by Jim Kunstler : Oh Six: Filed in: , , , ,

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